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Old 01/19/2013, 02:38 am   #1
SeriousScar
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Default Chances of surviving a Season...

Based on all the characters from Season one who died and lived there is roughly a 28% chance that a character will survive per Season. (this is assuming that all the characters who's fate is unknown are still alive)

With that in-mind, do we even want to see Clementine/Omid/Chrtisa in Season two? Given that statistically speaking only one of the three will survive it?
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Old 01/19/2013, 03:04 am   #2
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Statistics don't count for individuals, maybe they find other survivors, lets say 6-7 people and all of them die, or they don't who knows? I don't believe in a happy ending so I think poor Clem dies in the very end, until then I want to protect her, I don't want new characters, or better say I do, but I want at least Omid and Clem back, I mean Omid is just hilarious, and Clem the coolest video game kid ever... and Kenny is not dead for sure, though I think he is... anyways, that's my thoughts
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Old 01/19/2013, 04:10 am   #3
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Nooooo, Omid and Christa have to be around for at least part of Season 2! (And Clem, of course, obviously)

I adore Omid.
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Old 01/19/2013, 04:40 am   #4
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Everyone dying would be the most TWD thing ever.
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Old 01/19/2013, 09:16 am   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nuked View Post
Everyone dying would be the most TWD thing ever.
yeah
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"Thou shall not fear the terror by night, nor the arrow that flies by day, nor the pestillence, that walketh darkness, nor the destruction, that wastes noon day." - Hershel Greene
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Old 01/19/2013, 09:52 am   #6
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Well I actually think there is a higher chance that the main character would survive. Why? Because it would be cliche and predictable writing if the kill off the protagonist twice in a row. Heck even before Episode 4 I saw Lees death coming.

That said based on the darkness of TWD if Clementine is in season 2 I predict that she will be the next one to die. I mean the game messes with your emotions and TellTale has no reason to hold back just because we like Clementine.
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Old 01/19/2013, 10:40 am   #7
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I don't think statistics matter here. TT can bring back any character they want.
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Old 01/19/2013, 11:45 am   #8
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Hmm. Here's another statistic for you to find. What are the chances of surviving a Season for sure? Let's just count anyone who is unknown at this point dead, or missing. For all we know, Molly, Vernon and Co., Christa, and Omid all got eaten back in Savannah.
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Old 01/25/2013, 05:30 am   #9
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Quote:
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Hmm. Here's another statistic for you to find. What are the chances of surviving a Season for sure? Let's just count anyone who is unknown at this point dead, or missing. For all we know, Molly, Vernon and Co., Christa, and Omid all got eaten back in Savannah.
So Lilly (Woodbury) and Clementine are the only ones that survived for sure?
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Old 01/25/2013, 06:02 am   #10
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I need closure with Clem at least. So yea we need her in season 2 even if she does die.
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Old 01/25/2013, 06:52 am   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SeriousScar View Post
Based on all the characters from Season one who died and lived there is roughly a 28% chance that a character will survive per Season. (this is assuming that all the characters who's fate is unknown are still alive)
Where did you come up with that number We got 3 alive, 33 dead and 13 unknown. Going by your statement everyone unknown being alive that would be 16 out of 49 = 32.7%. No idea where you got your 28% from.

Also, it is safe to assume that most people whose destiny is unknown died. Such as Anna, Jolenes daughter, Andre etc.

Lee = dead, Lee's Brother = Dead, Clementine = Alive, Ed and Diana = Dead, Andre = unknown, Sandra = Dead, Andre = unknown, Chet = dead, Hershel = Unknown, Shawn = dead, Kenny = dead (90+%, wouldn't call it unknown), Katjaa = dead, Duck = Dead, Glenn= unknown, Carley=Dead, Doug=dead, Beatrice=dead, Lilly=unknown, Larry=dead, Irene=dead, Mark=dead, Ben=dead, Travis=dead, David=dead, Andrew=unknown, Danny=unknown or dead, Terry=unknown, Brenda=dead, Gary=dead, Drew=Dead, Linda=unknown, Danielle=unknown, Jolene=dead, Charles=dead, Christa=alive, Omid=alive, Campman=dead, Tess=Dead, Young attíc boy=dead, Molly=unknown, Anna=unknown, Oberson=dead, dr. Logan=dead, Jeferson=dead, Vernon, Boyd, Clive and Joiyce=unknown, Brie=dead,
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Old 01/25/2013, 07:18 am   #12
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Kenny-90+% wouldn't call it unknown? Where did you get that number?
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Old 01/25/2013, 08:03 am   #13
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I think it would be safe to classify Kenny as dead at this point. Unless something in Season 2 indicates that he isn't.
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Old 01/25/2013, 08:11 am   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Corcline27 View Post
Kenny-90+% wouldn't call it unknown? Where did you get that number?
Too tired to explain this again, was discussed numerous times. He is pretty much dead. Besides, he accounts for ~2% of the walking dead characters, so even if I am incorrect it wouldn't make much of a difference.
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Old 01/25/2013, 09:47 am   #15
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You get on the OP for his mystery numbers then you throw out your own. Hmmm
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Old 01/25/2013, 09:52 am   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dubesor View Post
Too tired to explain this again, was discussed numerous times. He is pretty much dead. Besides, he accounts for ~2% of the walking dead characters, so even if I am incorrect it wouldn't make much of a difference.
Its probably that by characters he meant characters that were a part of the group or even just characters you actually meet in person (alive).

If we're talking the people who appear in your group for more than one episode (those more relevent to the main question about Christa, Omid and Clem) then we've got

Clementine - alive
Carley - dead
Kenny - dead
Lee - dead
Duck - dead
Doug - dead
Omid - alive
Katjaa -dead
Christa- alive
Chuck - dead
Lilly - unknown (if she's now not the comic book Lilly then her situation looks bad)
Larry - dead
Ben - dead


3 alive, 1 unknown, 9 dead. That gives me 23% or 30% based on if Lilly's alive.
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Old 01/25/2013, 10:03 am   #17
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^ Lee has met MUCH more people that were alive (see list above)
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Old 01/25/2013, 10:17 am   #18
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Originally Posted by dubesor View Post
Where did you come up with that number We got 3 alive, 33 dead and 13 unknown. Going by your statement everyone unknown being alive that would be 16 out of 49 = 32.7%. No idea where you got your 28% from.

Also, it is safe to assume that most people whose destiny is unknown died. Such as Anna, Jolenes daughter, Andre etc.

Lee = dead, Lee's Brother = Dead, Clementine = Alive, Ed and Diana = Dead, Andre = unknown, Sandra = Dead, Andre = unknown, Chet = dead, Hershel = Unknown, Shawn = dead, Kenny = dead (90+%, wouldn't call it unknown), Katjaa = dead, Duck = Dead, Glenn= unknown, Carley=Dead, Doug=dead, Beatrice=dead, Lilly=unknown, Larry=dead, Irene=dead, Mark=dead, Ben=dead, Travis=dead, David=dead, Andrew=unknown, Danny=unknown or dead, Terry=unknown, Brenda=dead, Gary=dead, Drew=Dead, Linda=unknown, Danielle=unknown, Jolene=dead, Charles=dead, Christa=alive, Omid=alive, Campman=dead, Tess=Dead, Young attíc boy=dead, Molly=unknown, Anna=unknown, Oberson=dead, dr. Logan=dead, Jeferson=dead, Vernon, Boyd, Clive and Joiyce=unknown, Brie=dead,
Christa and Omid are unknown, not alive...
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Old 01/25/2013, 10:18 am   #19
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^ Lee has met MUCH more people that were alive (see list above)
That was just a list of long term group members, (like Clem, Christa and Omid) which was the original point of this thread, How likely are they to survive another season (answer, not very)

By meeting people alive i was talking about you including people from the Crawford tapes and the boy in the attic. The OP didn't say was his criteria for a character worth counting was.
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Old 01/25/2013, 10:19 am   #20
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Christa and Omid are unknown, not alive...
You could argue their all unknown by that definition. They weren't in any danger the last time we saw them so we have to assume they are alive.
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